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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85440206010012014011947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.33.0
35.138.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
red by 14.2
23.10.0
23.423.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
30.53.6
28.432.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
red by 19.7
10.80.0
10.710.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
12.83.6
10.814.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 2.1
5006
#18
10.70.0
12.512.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned