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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874204060100120140160709

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
40.80.8
43.042.2
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 33.9
7910
#12
6.90.4
8.98.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Second
4005
#11
18.21.0
18.717.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 14.5
6586
#17
3.70.4
6.25.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
Third
6840
#13
7.41.0
8.97.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 9.2
7483
#19
-1.80.4
-0.7-1.2
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed