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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228704060801001201404262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.1
18.618.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
blue by 26.8
45.30.8
46.846.1
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
Second
5729
#16
5.40.1
4.54.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 8.0
190
#10
13.30.8
14.714.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
4764
#15
4.50.1
5.96.0
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 6.2
2973
#14
10.70.9
12.111.1
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed