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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1073205015020010253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
40.80.5
42.242.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 17.7
23.10.6
23.424.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
37.30.5
38.138.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
red by 19.1
4005
#11
18.20.7
17.718.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
10.80.5
10.811.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
red by 12.6
7483
#19
-1.80.7
-1.2-0.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed