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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9745020608012014010646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.2
46.147.2
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 14.8
30.50.2
32.031.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
Second
34.21.2
34.035.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
red by 23.5
2973
#14
10.70.2
11.110.9
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Third
5729
#16
5.41.3
4.65.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
red by 1.7
6586
#17
3.70.2
5.85.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed