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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283902060801002520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#10
13.30.5
14.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
red by 0.5
12.81.4
14.413.0
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Second
6840
#13
7.40.5
7.97.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 3.3
5006
#18
10.71.3
12.511.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
4764
#15
4.50.5
6.05.5
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 2.4
7910
#12
6.91.4
8.57.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed