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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226104080100120876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.82.4
11.38.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
blue by 21.4
34.21.6
30.932.5
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Second
6840
#13
7.42.4
8.05.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 23.1
30.52.7
11.113.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
Third
4764
#15
4.52.4
6.33.9
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 13.7
4005
#11
18.22.7
9.912.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned