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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8625040601001201401607619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.4
43.543.1
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 26.8
18.61.4
14.413.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
Second
23.10.4
18.918.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
red by 12.3
10.81.4
9.48.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
2973
#14
10.70.6
10.910.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
red by 3.8
7910
#12
6.91.4
7.46.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed