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Red90
558428.8
477428.9
64326.8
Blue12
45377.6
88758.3
60357.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7420040601001201409012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.6
28.228.8
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
red by 20.6
8875
#11
8.30.3
9.08.7
Auto3.4
Teleop-0.5
End5.3
Second
28.80.6
28.128.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
red by 21.2
4537
#18
7.60.3
8.38.0
Auto1.1
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
6432
#26
6.80.6
6.16.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 0.5
6035
#17
7.30.3
8.07.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.4