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Red62
558428.8
477428.9
64326.8
Blue43
598523.8
313229.7
88448.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7166204060801001201406243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.2
29.329.1
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
blue by 0.8
29.70.4
30.129.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
28.80.2
29.229.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
red by 5.0
5985
#14
23.80.4
24.323.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.0
End5.3
Third
6432
#26
6.80.2
7.27.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 1.3
8844
#20
8.10.4
8.58.1
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.2