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Red15
64348.8
65754.3
64326.8
Blue19
64764.8
758314.1
47394.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431010204050601519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6434
#16DQ
8.80.9
8.47.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 5.3
14.12.4
9.36.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Second
6432
#26
6.80.9
6.96.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End2.1
red by 2.0
6476
#13
4.82.4
8.66.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Third
6575
#19
4.30.9
8.07.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.1
red by 0.3
4739
#24
4.12.4
10.37.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed