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Red72
477428.9
533114.3
461334.0
Blue28
55646.1
58768.9
558428.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614220801007228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.9
25.727.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End10.4
red by 5.2
28.81.5
23.421.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
Second
28.91.9
21.323.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
red by 20.0
5876
#27
8.91.5
9.78.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
5331
#10
14.31.9
7.89.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End3.9
red by 8.2
5564
#23
6.11.5
8.67.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed