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Red34
59885.5
47394.1
558428.8
Blue55
651024.1
88758.3
477428.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385302060803455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.8
21.821.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
blue by 0.1
28.90.8
23.224.0
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
Second
5988
#22
5.50.8
7.97.0
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.9
blue by 18.5
24.10.8
16.617.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.7
End8.5
Third
4739
#24
4.10.8
7.97.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 4.2
8875
#11
8.30.8
7.78.5
Auto3.4
Teleop-0.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned