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Red47
313229.7
60357.3
533114.3
Blue12
64764.8
60503.0
712815.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060804712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.1
26.126.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 13.8
7128
#15
15.92.6
16.113.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Second
5331
#10
14.30.1
9.79.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End3.9
red by 9.5
6476
#13
4.82.6
7.65.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Third
6035
#17
7.30.1
6.26.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.4
red by 4.4
6050
#25
3.02.6
5.22.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed