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Red45
598523.8
64764.8
58768.9
Blue63
71638.1
472910.5
313229.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060801004563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#14
23.81.0
21.422.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 5.8
29.71.3
28.930.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
5876
#27
8.91.0
6.67.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 1.6
4729
#12
10.51.3
9.510.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Third
6476
#13
4.81.0
3.74.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 3.3
7163
#21
8.11.3
6.98.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed