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Red8
65754.3
47394.1
59885.5
Blue47
712815.9
756119.9
64348.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1253020406080100847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5988
#22
5.50.6
6.35.7
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.9
blue by 14.4
19.90.2
19.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End4.4
Second
6575
#19
4.30.6
5.04.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 11.5
7128
#15
15.90.2
16.316.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
4739
#24
4.10.6
4.84.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 4.8
6434
#16
8.80.2
8.68.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed