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Red18
418320.8
30194.8
11656.0
Blue31
189117.6
31878.7
55392.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060801831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.6
12.110.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
red by 3.2
17.60.1
10.210.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End8.3
Second
1165
#24
6.01.6
9.57.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End2.4
blue by 2.6
3187
#30
8.70.1
9.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
Third
3019
#32
4.81.6
10.79.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
red by 2.0
5539
#33
2.80.1
8.28.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed