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Red48
212229.2
385318.4
247820.8
Blue34
49820.3
874516.0
18284.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432902060804834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.6
15.315.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End10.1
red by 8.9
498
#13
20.30.5
11.512.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Second
20.80.6
13.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
red by 4.8
8745
#12
16.09.9
18.58.7
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
18.40.6
9.39.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.1
End11.1
red by 14.1
1828
#36
4.30.5
9.510.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed