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Red38
149212.3
224011.4
320014.6
Blue50
6019.3
80879.6
240320.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060803850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#14
14.60.4
11.712.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.4
blue by 5.4
2403
#10
20.00.7
16.317.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End3.7
Second
1492
#18
12.30.3
13.113.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 7.0
60
#3
19.30.7
16.116.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Third
2240
#25
11.40.4
10.010.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 1.8
8087
#22
9.60.7
7.17.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed