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Red32
61277.5
68336.8
406820.0
Blue45
802112.1
248618.9
141014.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304002060803245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.3
11.011.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 1.1
2486
#11
18.90.9
11.812.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Second
6127
#29
7.50.3
8.28.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End3.0
blue by 6.8
1410
#28
14.30.9
16.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1
Third
6833
#31
6.80.3
10.610.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 5.3
12.13.0
12.19.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned