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Red38
247820.8
68216.0
49820.3
Blue79
31878.7
212229.2
248618.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335602040801001201403879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.4
14.515.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
blue by 8.4
29.22.8
26.229.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End10.1
Second
498
#13
20.30.4
14.514.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End4.9
red by 1.4
2486
#11
18.92.8
14.317.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Third
6821
#27
6.00.4
5.25.6
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.0
blue by 2.7
3187
#30
8.72.8
9.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed