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Red43
61277.5
418320.8
441813.6
Blue17
55392.8
802112.1
18284.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30260204060804317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.7
13.915.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
red by 8.7
12.10.9
10.79.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
Second
4418
#19
13.61.7
7.99.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
red by 9.4
1828
#36
4.30.9
8.87.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Third
6127
#29
7.51.7
6.17.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 4.7
5539
#33
2.80.9
5.54.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed