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Red16
455010.5
11656.0
68336.8
Blue65
406820.0
418320.8
247820.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176604060801001201665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#16
10.50.6
9.99.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End6.7
blue by 10.3
20.80.5
18.919.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Second
6833
#31
6.80.6
6.15.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 14.0
20.80.5
17.718.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Third
1165
#24
6.00.6
6.15.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End2.4
blue by 13.9
20.00.5
19.419.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsEarned