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Red40
61277.5
802112.1
874516.0
Blue35
172614.0
441813.6
99110.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43391020305060704035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8745
#12
16.00.4
16.616.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
red by 2.0
1726
#21
14.00.2
13.213.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End4.8
Second
12.10.3
14.213.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
blue by 1.5
4418
#19
13.60.2
11.911.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Third
6127
#29
7.50.3
8.78.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End3.0
blue by 2.9
991
#23
10.40.2
12.011.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed