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Red20
31878.7
99110.4
224011.4
Blue43
80879.6
418320.8
22889.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939203050602043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#25
11.41.6
13.812.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 9.4
20.80.5
19.520.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Second
991
#23
10.41.6
12.010.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.9
red by 0.8
8087
#22
9.60.5
9.19.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.1
Third
3187
#30
8.71.6
10.38.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
blue by 0.5
2288
#26
9.20.5
8.79.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned