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Red36
240320.0
68216.0
149212.3
Blue44
141014.3
320014.6
455010.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070803644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#10
20.00.8
21.620.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End3.7
red by 5.4
3200
#14
14.60.4
14.615.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.4
Second
1492
#18
12.30.8
13.012.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 2.1
1410
#28
14.30.4
14.414.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1
Third
6821
#27
6.00.8
6.86.0
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.0
blue by 4.4
4550
#16
10.50.4
10.010.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned