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Red67
77036.1
481710.6
441538.8
Blue38
35775.2
31877.6
240325.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350102030406070806738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.5
30.131.7
Auto11.5
Teleop14.7
End12.6
red by 12.9
2403
#11
25.80.2
22.122.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Second
4817
#14
10.61.5
4.46.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End3.6
red by 3.0
3187
#16
7.60.2
7.98.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Third
7703
#20
6.12.6
9.311.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
red by 0.9
3577
#32
5.20.4
4.64.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed