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Red20
874517.9
41111.5
647913.2
Blue59
641314.6
394414.7
49823.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3136010204050602059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8745
#15
17.90.6
17.416.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 5.1
498
#2
23.01.7
18.720.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End4.1
Second
6479
#26
13.21.0
8.87.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 1.5
3944
#12
14.72.8
8.010.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End-0.8
Third
4111
#34
1.51.0
3.22.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End-0.0
blue by 13.1
14.62.8
6.79.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed