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Red32
24497.4
30196.2
874517.9
Blue64
593310.1
385322.8
247823.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653102030406070803264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8745
#15
17.90.5
18.518.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 5.4
23.30.8
19.119.9
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
2449
#18
7.40.8
11.110.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End2.7
blue by 15.4
22.80.8
20.221.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End11.0
Third
3019
#27
6.20.5
6.56.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.9
5933
#13
10.11.2
8.09.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned