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Red82
641314.6
884818.5
441538.8
Blue41
41468.3
240325.8
41111.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72300204060801008241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.1
32.934.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.7
End12.6
red by 12.9
2403
#11
25.80.5
24.224.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Second
18.51.6
15.416.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.5
red by 10.2
4146
#30
8.30.8
6.57.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End3.0
Third
14.61.6
13.515.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 13.1
4111
#34
1.50.8
2.43.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed