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Red2
41111.5
32457.5
481710.6
Blue58
24497.4
635224.7
26626.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193201040506070258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4817
#14
10.61.2
5.64.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 14.1
24.71.5
12.013.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Second
3245
#25
7.51.9
8.76.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End3.5
red by 0.1
2449
#18
7.41.5
7.08.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End2.7
Third
4111
#34
1.51.9
5.23.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End-0.0
blue by 5.2
2662
#29
6.81.5
9.411.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned