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Red23
647913.2
28408.6
394414.7
Blue69
149216.5
441538.8
30196.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30520204060802369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#12
14.71.8
10.28.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End-0.8
blue by 24.1
38.81.5
28.630.1
Auto11.5
Teleop14.7
End12.6
Second
6479
#26
13.21.8
10.68.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 3.3
16.51.5
12.914.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Third
2840
#31
8.61.8
10.28.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 2.4
3019
#27
6.21.5
4.86.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned