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Red102
31927.3
22827.5
17736.9
Blue84
404825.6
808528.1
412212.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066005015020010284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#15
36.90.5
37.938.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End9.1
red by 8.8
8085
#23
28.11.4
23.224.7
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End9.7
Second
228
#21
27.50.5
26.727.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End8.4
red by 1.9
4048
#28Sur
25.61.4
24.525.9
Auto9.4
Teleop6.5
End9.7
Third
319
#17Sur
27.30.5
29.430.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End10.8
red by 15.1
4122
#49
12.21.4
14.616.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned