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Red97
71621.0
107330.4
13147.5
Blue70
23831.7
174029.3
549417.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901004060801201409770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
47.50.5
38.338.8
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
red by 15.8
238
#16
31.71.5
44.242.6
Auto12.1
Teleop9.9
End9.6
Second
1073
#18
30.40.5
30.330.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End8.5
red by 1.1
1740
#58
29.31.5
32.230.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End6.4
Third
716
#30Sur
21.00.5
17.417.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End7.0
red by 4.0
5494
#51
17.01.5
16.515.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned