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Red74
1904.6
287724.9
8830.8
Blue36
179631.4
199114.1
85678.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93680501507436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
30.811.8
30.842.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End6.7
blue by 0.6
1796
#36
31.42.5
31.433.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
2877
#20
24.92.2
24.927.1
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End8.7
red by 10.8
1991
#52
14.14.5
14.118.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.7
Third
190
#54
4.68.0
4.612.6
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 4.0
8567
#50
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed