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Red67
872420.3
31927.3
242315.6
Blue70
13147.5
8399.1
19539.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711040501506770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#17
27.33.3
27.330.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End10.8
blue by 20.2
131
#4
47.58.4
47.539.1
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
Second
8724
#25
20.34.3
20.324.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.0
blue by 19.1
195
#8
39.53.7
39.535.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
Third
2423
#59
15.61.7
15.613.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End4.9
red by 6.5
839
#37
9.15.0
9.114.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsMissed