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Red1
442115.1
636417.7
71674.6
Blue0
99980.0
99990.0
99970.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41200608010010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.8
17.216.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
red by 17.7
9997
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Second
15.10.8
14.513.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
red by 15.1
9998
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Third
7167
#18
4.60.8
4.03.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.9
red by 4.6
9999
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0