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Red58
442115.1
636417.7
71674.6
Blue37
28815.1
648610.6
2445.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060805837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.5
16.717.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
red by 2.6
288
#7
15.10.1
15.015.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Second
15.10.5
14.114.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
red by 4.5
10.60.1
10.510.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
7167
#18
4.60.5
3.64.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 1.1
244
#22
5.70.1
5.65.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8