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Red41
71907.7
636417.7
462711.5
Blue21
648610.6
83388.1
2445.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31210104050604121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.5
13.314.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
red by 7.1
10.60.0
6.16.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
4627
#10
11.51.5
9.110.6
Auto5.8
Teleop1.5
End4.3
red by 3.5
8338
#14
8.10.0
6.36.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.5
Third
7190
#15
7.71.5
5.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 1.9
244
#22
5.70.0
8.48.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed