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Red14
71674.6
639011.0
87944.1
Blue11
73325.8
83315.4
83127.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22180103040501411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.00.7
9.58.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End4.6
red by 3.1
8312
#13
7.90.7
5.44.6
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End3.5
Second
7167
#18
4.60.7
5.24.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 1.1
7332
#11
5.80.7
6.35.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End1.7
Third
8794
#19
4.10.7
5.44.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 1.3
8331
#21
5.40.7
6.05.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed