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Red28
72877.2
648610.6
71907.7
Blue20
77965.1
71735.6
778712.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15220103040502820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.5
6.16.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 1.4
12.00.1
11.311.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Second
7190
#15
7.70.5
6.77.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 2.1
7173
#20
5.60.1
4.04.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0
Third
7.20.5
2.32.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End3.1
red by 2.1
7796
#16
5.10.1
4.14.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed