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Red40
83388.1
28815.1
648517.9
Blue10
635110.1
80824.9
442115.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352201030405060704010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.0
12.513.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 2.8
15.11.4
10.38.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Second
288
#7
15.11.0
12.513.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End3.5
red by 5.0
10.11.4
6.85.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End4.7
Third
8338
#14
8.11.0
6.37.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.5
red by 3.2
8082
#17
4.91.4
5.44.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed