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Red26
2169.8
73325.8
639011.0
Blue34
636417.7
77965.1
83315.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2027010304050602634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.00.7
8.89.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End4.6
blue by 6.7
17.70.6
14.815.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
Second
216
#12
9.80.7
4.95.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.4
red by 4.4
8331
#21
5.40.6
5.25.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.7
Third
7332
#11
5.80.7
5.66.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End1.7
red by 0.6
7796
#16
5.10.6
4.24.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed