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Red39
214731.5
99994.1
49228.8
Blue56
99914.2
408935.6
94812.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8436020601001201403956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#13
31.52.9
40.237.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.0
End8.1
blue by 4.0
35.60.5
29.530.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End9.8
Second
492
#6
28.82.9
31.628.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End10.7
red by 16.5
948
#11
12.30.5
7.78.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End7.8
Third
9999
#20
4.14.8
10.65.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Level
9991
#19
4.20.9
10.611.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed