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Red64
291055.9
189912.4
241214.7
Blue49
366328.4
46828.2
292819.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946302040801201401606449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.91.4
53.752.3
Auto16.7
Teleop28.1
End11.1
red by 27.5
28.41.2
29.528.3
Auto8.6
Teleop11.8
End8.0
Second
2412
#16
14.71.4
14.613.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 4.3
19.01.2
22.721.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End11.6
Third
1899
#12
12.41.4
16.515.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.4
red by 4.2
4682
#14
8.21.2
11.19.9
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned