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Red32
36036.5
131816.7
9997-1.1
Blue41
491138.4
99905.6
59375.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5777020401001201403241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#2
36.52.7
32.830.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.7
blue by 1.9
38.42.0
51.949.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.5
End6.6
Second
1318
#15
16.72.7
21.719.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End4.0
red by 11.1
5.63.4
10.67.2
Auto0.6
Teleop0.7
End4.3
Third
9997
#21
-1.14.6
10.66.0
Auto0.6
Teleop-1.5
End-0.2
blue by 6.4
5937
#18
5.32.0
9.06.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed