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Red49
131816.7
9498.7
49228.8
Blue117
46828.2
291055.9
491138.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43126010015049117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
28.80.3
27.026.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End10.7
blue by 27.1
55.90.7
51.051.7
Auto16.7
Teleop28.1
End11.1
Second
1318
#15
16.70.3
16.616.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End4.0
blue by 21.7
38.40.7
45.245.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.5
End6.6
Third
949
#17
8.70.3
5.14.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.2
red by 0.6
4682
#14
8.20.7
10.010.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned