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Red67
241214.7
408935.6
99994.1
Blue49
94812.3
189912.4
99926.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452502060801006749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.6
29.330.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End9.8
red by 23.2
1899
#12
12.41.3
13.314.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.4
Second
2412
#16
14.71.6
12.614.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 2.5
948
#11
12.31.3
9.310.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End7.8
Third
9999
#20
4.12.6
1.44.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 2.3
9992
#10
6.52.2
6.38.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsEarned