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Red36
99994.1
592018.4
99905.6
Blue142
408935.6
291055.9
36036.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71485010020025030036142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.7
17.518.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End6.4
blue by 37.5
55.91.5
51.953.4
Auto16.7
Teleop28.1
End11.1
Second
5.61.1
4.85.9
Auto0.6
Teleop0.7
End4.3
blue by 30.8
360
#2
36.51.5
36.037.5
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.7
Third
9999
#20
4.11.0
3.04.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 31.4
35.61.5
31.933.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned