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Red59
131816.7
49228.8
46828.2
Blue58
9997-1.1
366328.4
214731.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595830405070805958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
28.80.5
28.028.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End10.7
blue by 2.7
2147
#13
31.50.2
30.330.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.0
End8.1
Second
1318
#15
16.70.5
15.215.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End4.0
blue by 11.6
28.40.2
26.626.8
Auto8.6
Teleop11.8
End8.0
Third
4682
#14
8.20.5
9.19.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End4.0
red by 9.3
9997
#21
-1.10.3
-1.8-1.5
Auto0.6
Teleop-1.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed